Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has sunk 52.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Buddy Hield has successfully made 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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