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Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have posted 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a strong matchup for offensive productivity.

The fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

This year, their opposition has grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield ranks in the 79th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked shots, compiling a whopping 6.0 per game this year.

Relative to last season's 3.6 rate, Buddy Hield's three-pointers sunk have tailed off this season to 2.8 per game.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield slots into the 24th percentile for drawing fouls, averaging just 0.7 foul shots per game this year.

Buddy Hield ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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