Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 10.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 85.3 shot attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bulls, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers grade out 10thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has shot and missed 6.3 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 79th percentile for misses .
Buddy Hield has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Pacers.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 11.7 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (maintaining possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).
Buddy Hield has attempted 0.7 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 25th percentile among all players in the NBA.

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