Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield rates in the 94th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc away from home, posting 7.0 per game this year.
The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a hard one; when the Rockets are on their home court, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (100.3).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has attempted a lowly 11.0 shots from the field per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 13.0 rate last season.
Buddy Hield has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 13.8 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Rockets (retaining possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 29.8 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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