Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 11:50 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 7.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 18.9 points per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers will likely see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 8th-fastest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Magic).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As a team, the Indiana Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging just 18.8 free throw attempts per game.

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