Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 3.8 rate, Buddy Hield's three-pointers made have spiked this season to 3.6 per game.
With respect to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's fantastic 128.8 points per game without the home court advantage settles in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a positive one for field goals; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 30th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (51.8%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Pacers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 9 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (saving possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).
Buddy Hield has successfully made a lowly 66.7% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly lower than his 81.3 rate last year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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