Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.5 threes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 mark last season.
The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more plays for the Indiana Pacers.
With the home court advantage, the Raptors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has tallied a mere 22.9 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 30.5 minutes per game last year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 1.0 three-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Raptors, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has successfully made a lowly 50.0% of his free throws this year, significantly lower than his 81.3 rate last year.
The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Raptors are on their home court (11th-least in the NBA).

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