Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 39.2% mark, Buddy Hield's field goal proficiency has spiked this year to 45.5%.
Buddy Hield has converted 3.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Buddy Hield has played 35.5 minutes per game over the last 13 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's played in all games this season.
The matchup against the Wizards is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team has totaled the 4th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (32.0).
The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league away from their home court this year.

Favors Under

Compared to his full-year clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Buddy Hield's rate of personal fouls has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 13 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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