Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 16.0 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing away from home, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Buddy Hield has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.6).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.
The Hornets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
While on their home court, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hornets may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 0.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA).