Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:47 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Buddy Hield has averaged 29.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league on the road this year.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a difficult one for scoring; when the Bucks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (38.9%).
Buddy Hield will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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