Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has sunk a whopping 3.8 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 3.2 mark last season.
Buddy Hield has played 31.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Torrey Craig is a favorable one for threes; when defending opposing starting SFs this year, they have made a colossal 40.0% of their 3-pointers (100th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 13 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Suns have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers.
The matchup against Torrey Craig is a hard one for drawing fouls; when guarding fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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