Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has made 3.7 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Buddy Hield has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's made overall this season.
Buddy Hield has averaged 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year in terms of shots from downtown.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Suns may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted just 24.9 foul shots per game this year while at home (9th-least in the league).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Pacers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Suns.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (13.4).
Buddy Hield will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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