Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has successfully made 51.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's converted from three overall this season.
Buddy Hield has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season while playing on the road.
Buddy Hield has played 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (which also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Bucks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Bucks is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (4.1).
Buddy Hield will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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