Buddy Hield Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has converted 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Buddy Hield has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Jimmy Butler is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Butler is on his home court and matched up against opposing starting SFs this year, they have successfully made a mere 38.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc (79th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Pacers.

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