Buddy Hield Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has averaged 3.0 assists per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has been on the court for a lowly 25.3 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 30.5 minutes per game last season.
Buddy Hield has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance for all stats.

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