Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Brook Lopez has averaged 30.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
Brook Lopez should see an increase in output across the board as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.