Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has posted an impressive 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.1 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The 7th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats considering playing away from hom in this game.

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