Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 24, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 1:51 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has posted 6.9 rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the league's hottest by this metric recently: 91st percentile.
Brook Lopez has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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