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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Brook Lopez has tallied 6.1 defensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
  • Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
  • Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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