Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 7.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
Brook Lopez has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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