Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:16 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has compiled 2.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's compiled overall this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Kings have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player production for all stats.

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