Brook Lopez Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 7:01 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has totaled 2.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's totaled overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsens player production for all stats.

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