Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has converted 66.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 15.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Brook Lopez has made 48.1% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 11.9% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Brook Lopez has averaged 32.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Bucks check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc hit against Adem Bona has been very high (48.8%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

Favors Under

The Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Adem Bona has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throw attempts per game when they are at home: 23rd percentile).
Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance for all stats.