Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has sunk 62.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while at home.
Brook Lopez has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile.
The Bucks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.
Brook Lopez has sunk 97.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 11.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has been called for 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The rate of three-pointers sunk against Karl-Anthony Towns has been remarkably low (23.0%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Karl-Anthony Towns in regard to getting to the foul line places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.0 foul shots per game this year.

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