Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2025

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 26, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has sunk 63.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 13.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Brook Lopez has made 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 15.6% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 32.0 minutes per game away from home this year.
With respect to threes, the Bucks's impressive 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a strong one for 3-pointers; when Jokic is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 48.2% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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