Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 14, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 10:53 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has converted 49.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year while on his home court.
Brook Lopez has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.
As it relates to shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's outstanding 117.5 points per game measures as the 9th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 6th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez places in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.
The number of points averaged against Clint Capela has been quite low (11.3 per game) when he is on the visiting team and matched up against other starting Cs this year (11th percentile).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Clint Capela has been quite low this year (2.1 foul shot attempts per game when they are on their home court: 25th percentile).

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