Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 2:55 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has made 51.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.3% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Brook Lopez has converted 43.9% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 9.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.2 minutes per game on the road this year.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Bucks's outstanding 16.1 made threes per game measures as the 3rd-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc scored against Nic Claxton has been very high (53.2%) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Nets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Bucks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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