Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez places in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.4 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The clash with Karl-Anthony Towns lands in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs hitting a monstrous 64.6% of their field goal attempts since the start of last season when they are playing on the road.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup with Karl-Anthony Towns as it relates to getting to the free-throw line lands in just the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a whopping 5.3 free throws per game since the start of last season when they are playing on the road.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 48.5% mark, Brook Lopez's shooting performance has tailed off this season to 34.8%.
Brook Lopez has converted a measly 24.0% of his attempts from downtown this season, a sizeable decrease from his 34.4 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).