Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 5.1 per game this year.
Brook Lopez has played 30.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a strong one; he has allowed a whopping 16.3 points per game away from home when facing fellow starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has attempted just 9.6 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 11.6 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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