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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile.

In regard to offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's superb 120.0 points per game as the away team places strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The 5th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Bucks.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez places in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.

The faceoff with Draymond Green ranks in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs hitting just 49.1% of their shots from the field this year when they are away from home.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with just 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 15 games, opposing squads have captured 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

Brook Lopez will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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