Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a positive one for field goals; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 6.7 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile).
The Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year.
Brook Lopez has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 6.2 rate, Brook Lopez's shots hit have fallen this season to 4.9 per game.
Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (87th percentile).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have come down with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably low this year (2.6 foul shot attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 13th percentile).

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