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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-155/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 84th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year.

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Brook Lopez has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).

The number of points averaged against Bam Adebayo has been very low (11.8 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Adebayo is away from his home court and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

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