Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has made 56.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.6 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The showdown with Jarrett Allen rates in the 13th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs making just 5.1 shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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