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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez registers in the 79th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, putting up 5.1 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.3 minutes per game this year.

In terms of shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 127.0 points per game places strongest in the league over the last 25 games.

This matchup is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, opposing squads have put up the 2nd-lowest FG% in the league against them this year (45.8%).

While on the road and matched up against other starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 97th percentile with a whopping 3.1 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has failed to make 6.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's missed overall this season.

Brook Lopez has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (90th percentile).

The Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

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