Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 3:06 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has sunk 6.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this season away from his home court.
Brook Lopez has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season away from his home court.
Among all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 29.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The number of points posted against Day'Ron Sharpe has been remarkably low (12.7 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nets).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).