Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has converted 6.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's made over the course of the year when playing on the road.
Brook Lopez has converted 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season when playing away from home.
Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 128.7 points per game places best in the league over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
This matchup is a favorable one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 10 games (49.1%).
The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a tough one for field goals; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 5.1 baskets per game (11th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with a mere 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Brook Lopez stands to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this game.

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