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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has successfully made 7.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from his home court.

Brook Lopez has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 80th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; when the Heat are playing at home, the other team have put up the 8th-highest 3-point rate in the league against them this year (36.8%).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.0).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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