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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has sunk 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.

This matchup is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have compiled the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league against them this year (36.7%).

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (12.1).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league).

More Brook Lopez Player Props

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