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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has converted 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Brook Lopez has attempted 4.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 mark last year.

Brook Lopez has averaged 28.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.9).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line of late: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home with a mere 15.6 foul shot attempts per game.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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