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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brook Lopez has successfully made 7.9 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Brook Lopez has attempted 4.7 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 rate last season.

Brook Lopez has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.0).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, averaging just 18.8 foul shots per game.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

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