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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.
  • The Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Brook Lopez has made 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this season playing at home.
  • The matchup against the Nets may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 3.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (21st-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The matchup against Brooklyn is a difficult one; when the Nets are the visiting team, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (12.0).
  • The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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