Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Moritz Wagner is a favorable one for field goals; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 60.2% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 12.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while on the road.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has sunk 25.6% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.
Brook Lopez has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The matchup vs. the Magic is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.5 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Magic are at home (15th-least in the NBA).