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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup against Philadelphia is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 25th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.9).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Brook Lopez has successfully made 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home.
  • Brook Lopez will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
  • While playing away from home, the 76ers have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the 76ers is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.8 free throws per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

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