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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
  • The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Brook Lopez has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season at home.
  • Brook Lopez will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brook Lopez has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
  • Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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