Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez has converted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season at home.
Brook Lopez will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
Away from their home court, the Magic have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.7 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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