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Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Brook Lopez has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court.

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 3.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (22nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (10.0).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.

More Brook Lopez Player Props

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