Brook Lopez Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Brook Lopez has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Brook Lopez has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Pistons.

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The Pistons have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing starting Cs have averaged the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (0.3).