Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 30.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Bucks check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Detroit Pistons).
The Detroit Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Brook Lopez slots into the 81st percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target three-point shots without the home court advantage, putting up a colossal 3.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Brook Lopez measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.4 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Jalen Duren is a hard one for three-pointers; when Duren is on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have finished with a measly 0.3 three-point shots per game (11th percentile).
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.