Brook Lopez Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has tallied 30.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Bucks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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