Brook Lopez Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Brook Lopez

NBA · Player Props

Brook Lopez

C · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Brook Lopez Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brook Lopez has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
At home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Brook Lopez has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Raptors.
Brook Lopez will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production across the board.

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