Brandon Miller Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
Brandon Miller stands to see a rise in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Brandon Miller measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Hornets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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